Triumph Group, Inc. (TGI): Why It Jumped 2.91% Today, And What Comes Next

Big changes are happening at Triumph Group, Inc. (NYSE:TGI), which makes the stock worth watching today. The company is among the top gainers of the stock market today, skyrocketing 2.91% or (0.78 points) to $27.38 from its previous close of $26.6. Does this growth mean it the best stock to buy right now? The shares seem to have an active trading volume day with a reported 154944 contracts so far this session. TGI shares had a relatively better volume day versus average trading capacity of 475.73 thousand shares, but with a 49.31 million float and a -8.9% run over a week, it’s definitely worth keeping an eye on. The one year price forecast for TGI stock indicates that the average analyst price target is $28 per share. This means the stock has a potential increase of 2.26% from where the TGI share price has been trading recently which is between $26.43 and $27.39. There are some brokerage firms that offer lower targets than the average, with one of them, even setting their price target at $23. Flipping the other side of the coin, an analyst who is fully bullish set a price target as high as $35.

During the recent trading session for Triumph Group, Inc. (NYSE:TGI), the company witnessed their stock drop by $-1.31 over a week and surge $4.54 from the price 20 days ago. When compared to their established 52-week high of $29.38, the high they recorded in their recent session happens to be lower. Their established 52-week high was attained by the company on 11/26/19. The recent low of $11.16 stood for a -6.82% since 02/01/19, a data which is good for most investors who are looking to take advantage of the stock’s recent rise. A beta of 2.87 is also allocated to the stock. Since the beta is greater than one, it implies that the stock is more volatile than the market, a data that traders are keeping close attention to. At the moment, the median target price for TGI is set at $28, a figure which is below the recent 1-year high the stock witnessed.

Looking at the current readings for Triumph Group, Inc., the two-week RSI stands at 58.87. This figure suggests that TGI stock, for now, is neutral, meaning that the shares are stable in terms of price movement. The stochastic readings, on the other hand, based on the current TGI readings is similarly very revealing as it has a stochastic reading of 13.42% at this stage. This figure means that TGI share price today is being overbought.

Technical chart claims that Triumph Group, Inc. (TGI) would settle between $27.18/share to $27.77/share level. However, if the stock price goes below the $26.22 mark, then the market for Triumph Group, Inc. becomes much weaker. If that happens, the stock price might even plunge as low as $25.85 for its downside target. The stock is currently in the red zone of MACD, with the indicator reading -0.91. Traders are always alerted for the move of a stock above or below the zero line due to the fact that the reading is an indicator of the position of the short-term average relative to the long-term average. If the MACD is above the zero line, then the short-term average relative is above that of the long-term average, thus implying an upward momentum. Vice versa is the case if the MACD is below the zero line.

Analysts at Barclays lowered their recommendation on shares of TGI from Equal Weight to Underweight in their opinion released on August 23. BofA/Merrill analysts bumped their rating on Triumph Group, Inc. (NYSE:TGI) stock from Underperform to Buy in a separate flash note issued to investors on February 11. Analysts at UBS released an upgrade from Sell to Neutral for the stock, in a research note that dated back to December 17.

TGI equity has an average rating of 2.49, with the figure leaning towards a bullish end. 9 analysts who tracked the company were contacted by Reuters. Amongst them, 6 rated the stock as a hold while the remaining 3 were split even though not equally. Some analysts rate the stock as a buy or a strong buy while others rated it as a sell. 2 analysts rated Triumph Group, Inc. (NYSE:TGI) as a buy or a strong buy while 1 advised that investors should desist from purchasing the stock or sell them if they already own the company’s stock.

Moving on, TGI stock price is currently trading at 8.38X forward 12-month Consensus EPS estimates, and its P/E ratio is 0 while for the average stock in the same group, the multiple is 25.2. Triumph Group, Inc. current P/B ratio of 0 means it is trading at a discount against its industry’s 6.8.